US-Mexico Cattle Trade and Beef Markets

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Mexico exported feeder cattle to the US until New World Screwworm caused officials to stop this flow in 2025. In this farmdoc daily article, we estimate the impacts on the US and Mexico going from baseline projections where live trade returns to pre-entry levels to an alternative case with less live trade. As expected, the shortfall in US supplies leads to higher feeder cattle, fed cattle, and beef prices, although US producer response moderates these impacts over time.

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